Summary:
Elon Musk’s new political movement, the ‘America Party,’ has garnered significant attention but faces steep challenges. Polls indicate a sharp decline in Musk’s popularity, with a 66-point drop in net favorability since 2016. The third-party initiative is largely opposed, with 74% of respondents against it. While Democrats initially viewed it as a potential spoiler for Republicans, historical precedent suggests such movements often fail. The article emphasizes the broader political implications of third-party attempts during critical election cycles.
What This Means for You:
- Be cautious about supporting third-party movements, as they can act as spoilers in elections rather than viable alternatives.
- Stay informed about political trends and polling data to understand the potential impact of new parties on election outcomes.
- Focus on the broader goal of maintaining political balance rather than fragmenting voter bases during pivotal moments.
- Historical examples, like Ross Perot’s failed third-party attempt, highlight the risks of such initiatives.
Original Post:
Have you heard much about Elon Musk’s new third party, the ‘America Party’ in the news lately? Probably not, and there is a reason for that. No one is interested.
CNN’s data analyst Harry Enten recently looked at poll numbers for Elon and his new party and they are not pretty. To hear Enten tell it, the new party is ‘pretty much dead on arrival.’
Democrats and the media were excited about this at first because they believed it would hurt MAGA and the Republicans, but people on the right have been down this road before and remember how the story ends.
RedState reports:
Enten explained how Elon suffered a net drop in popularity from June 2016, when he was the most popular person in the poll with a +29 net favorable. “Down we go!” Enten said, as he explained the number in July 2025. Now Musk was at -37 on the net favorability scale. That was a 66-point drop.
Part of that is because of how the Democrats demonized him over DOGE — trying to characterize him as a Nazi was a dishonest and despicable attack. But Musk himself has also alienated many on the right with attacks on President Donald Trump. Enten detailed the drop Musk faced with Republicans, “Two thumbs down! A drop of 55 points.” He went from +61 to only +6 with Republicans.
In terms of the third party itself, only 25 percent were in favor, while 74 percent were opposed. Ross Perot tried to start a third party. He was more popular, but it failed.
It is “dead on arrival” — at least in terms of having a viable third party. But it could act as a spoiler in elections.
Watch the video below:
Jeez louise, Musk’s 3rd party looks close to dead on arrival.
He’s suffered a 66 pt drop in his net favorable since entering the politics scene. At a -37 pt net fav now!
With the GOP, he’s down 55 pts in just 4 months to just a +6 pt net fav.
74% oppose a Musk-led 3rd party! pic.twitter.com/vYGnXtV8oN
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) July 18, 2025
People on the right know that the most important thing right now is to keep the Democrats out of power. A third party would be the left’s key back into the House, the Senate, and maybe even the White House. That cannot happen.
Extra Information:
The Rise and Fall of Third Parties in American Politics provides historical context on why third-party movements often fail. Pew Research Center’s analysis highlights current trends in public trust and political fragmentation, which are relevant to understanding Musk’s challenges.
People Also Ask About:
- Why do third parties struggle to gain traction in the U.S.? Historical voter behavior and the two-party system make it difficult for third parties to succeed.
- What impact could Elon Musk’s party have on the 2026 elections? It could act as a spoiler, potentially splitting the Republican vote.
- How has Musk’s favorability changed over time? His net favorability has dropped by 66 points since 2016.
- What are the risks of supporting a third party? It can inadvertently benefit the opposing major party by dividing votes.
- Has a third party ever succeeded in U.S. politics? No, third parties have historically failed to achieve significant electoral success.
Expert Opinion:
Political analysts caution that third-party movements, while appealing to disillusioned voters, often fail to gain traction due to systemic barriers and voter reluctance. Elon Musk’s ‘America Party’ is unlikely to disrupt the established political landscape but could serve as a spoiler in key races, reinforcing the importance of strategic voting.
Key Terms:
- Elon Musk political party
- Third-party election impact USA
- America Party 2026 elections
- Ross Perot third-party comparison
- Elon Musk favorability drop
- Third-party spoiler effect
- Historical third-party failures
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