Article Summary
The 2025 AdventHealth 400 is the final Cup Series event before the All-Star Race, and Kyle Larson (+375) is the favorite to win at Kansas Speedway. However, the track has seen six different winners in its last six races, making it difficult to predict a clear winner. Bubba Wallace (+1800) and Alex Bowman (+2200) are also in contention as they have both won races at Kansas Speedway before.
What This Means for You
- Keep an eye on Kyle Larson, but don’t ignore the other drivers with a history of success at Kansas Speedway.
- Consider Bubba Wallace and Alex Bowman as viable NASCAR at Kansas longshots, as they have both won races at the track before.
- Larson will be on the pole, giving him a slight advantage, but anything can happen on the track.
- The future outlook for this race suggests that upsets are possible, so it’s worth considering multiple drivers as possible winners.
Original Post
The 2025 AdventHealth 400 is the final Cup Series event before the All-Star Race, and you’ll find nothing but All-Stars atop the 2025 NASCAR at Kansas odds board. Kyle Larson (+375) is the favorite in the 2025 Kansas NASCAR odds at BetMGM for Sunday’s race at 3 p.m. ET, followed by Ryan Blaney (+650) and Tyler Reddick (+700). However, Kansas Speedway has seen six different winners over its last six races, so you shouldn’t ignore those further down the 2025 AdventHealth 400 odds. Bubba Wallace (+1800) has one of those victories, and you could also consider Alex Bowman (+2200) as a NASCAR at Kansas longshot since he has five top-10s over his last six starts at the track. Larson will be on the pole.
Before entering any 2025 Kansas NASCAR picks, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Kansas predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model. Developed by SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, the proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times and has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021, including two winners in 2025.
SportsLine simulated the AdventHealth 400 2025 10,000 times. Here are the three NASCAR longshots to target, according to the model:
Ross Chastain (+1800 at BetMGM)
Chastain is coming off a runner-up at Texas Motor Speedway, which is his best finish at any race since the last time he stepped onto Kansas Speedway. The five-time Cup Series winner’s last victory came at the fall Kansas race as he posted the fastest time in the practice session before leading the race for 52 laps on the way to the checkered flag. That continued a string of recent successful starts at the track as Chastain enters the AdventHealth 400 2025 with four top 10s over his last six Kansas races. He’s also led for multiple laps in four of those races, and his average finish of 8.7 over this stretch is topped by just three other drivers. Chastain is a steal at BetMGM at +1800.
Joey Logano (+2000 at BetMGM)
After four victories last season, Logano notched his first in 2025 a week ago at Texas. That will make him a coveted NASCAR sleeper at BetMGM, as will the fact that he’s one of the most successful drivers in Kansas Speedway history. He has three career victories at the track, which trails only Denny Hamlin (four) for the most in Cup Series history. Logano clearly feels comfortable on 1.5-mile tracks like Kansas as his triumphs there is a microcosm of his overall success on intermediate tracks. Since the start of 2022, Logano’s five wins on intermediate circuits, like Kansas, are the second-most in NASCAR, with the win on Texas’ 1.5-mile track a week ago included in that.
Chase Elliott (+2000 at FanDuel)
Elliott counts himself as a NASCAR Kansas champion,
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