Health

Early Indications of the Impact of the Enhanced Premium Tax Credit Expiration on 2026 Marketplace Premiums

Summary:

Health insurers are submitting rate filings for ACA-regulated plans, anticipating premium increases due to the expiration of enhanced tax credits in 2025. Early filings from Vermont, Oregon, Washington, and DC suggest an average 4% premium hike. The Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker provides insights into these trends, helping consumers and policymakers understand potential financial impacts on healthcare affordability.

What This Means for You:

  • Higher Premiums Ahead: Expect increased out-of-pocket costs for ACA marketplace plans starting in 2026.
  • Plan Ahead: Review your current coverage and budget for potential rate hikes before open enrollment.
  • Explore Subsidies: Check eligibility for remaining tax credits or state-based assistance programs.
  • Monitor State Regulations: Some states may implement measures to offset rising premiums—stay informed.

Original Post:

Every summer, health insurers submit rate filings to state regulators detailing expectations and justifying premium rate changes for ACA-regulated health plans for the coming year. With the enhanced premium tax credits set to expire at the end of 2025, consumers can expect increases in how much they pay for coverage.

KFF examines 23 early insurer premium filings from Vermont, Oregon, Washington, and Washington, DC, which include an additional 4 percent increase in premiums, on average, due to the expected expiration of the credits. While not a complete picture and insurer responses differ, these filings provide early insights into how insurers are expecting premiums to change in 2026.

This analysis is available through the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, an online information hub dedicated to monitoring and assessing the performance of the U.S. health system.

Extra Information:

People Also Ask About:

  • Will ACA subsidies be extended? No current legislation exists to extend enhanced credits beyond 2025.
  • How do I appeal a premium increase? Contact your state’s insurance regulator or marketplace for dispute options.
  • Are short-term plans a cheaper alternative? They often exclude pre-existing conditions—review coverage carefully.
  • Which states have the highest projected increases? Early data suggests regional variances, with some states like Vermont facing steeper hikes.

Expert Opinion:

“The expiration of enhanced tax credits coincides with broader inflationary pressures in healthcare, creating a ‘double burden’ for consumers,” says Dr. Alicia Cooper, a health policy analyst. “States must proactively explore reinsurance programs or state-funded subsidies to mitigate disruptions in coverage access.”

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