CryptoCurrency

Bitcoin Gains On US Employment Weakness With $108,000 In Focus

Summary:

Bitcoin (BTC) surged to $108,000 on July 2, 2025, following a significant decline in US private-sector employment data. The drop in jobs, the largest since March 2023, has increased speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, which could boost liquidity for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Traders are closely monitoring key resistance levels, with $108,000 acting as a critical threshold for further upward momentum.

What This Means for You:

  • Monitor Federal Reserve announcements closely, as potential rate cuts could significantly impact Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
  • Be cautious of short positions near key resistance levels like $108,000, as liquidity grabs can lead to rapid price movements.
  • Stay informed about US labor market data, as it remains a critical driver of macroeconomic sentiment and crypto market trends.
  • Prepare for increased volatility in July, as Bitcoin’s price action could test new all-time highs or face resistance.

Bitcoin Gains On US Employment Weakness With $108,000 In Focus:

Key points:

  • US private-sector jobs numbers declined more than 4% in June — the biggest drop since March 2023.
  • Bitcoin sees relief, building on a rebound which has begun to trap late short positions.
  • $108,000 remains a near-term BTC price resistance level.

Bitcoin (BTC) touched $108,000 at the July 2 Wall Street open as a major miss in US employment sparked volatility.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin rebounds amid US labor market weakness

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD up 2% on the day at the time of writing.

Gains accompanied a surprise retraction in private-sector payrolls data, which came in 33,000 lower in June to hit its lowest level since March 2023. Estimates from management firm Automatic Data Processing (ADP), which compiled the data in its National Employment Report, had seen an increase of nearly 100,000.

“Though layoffs continue to be rare, a hesitancy to hire and a reluctance to replace departing workers led to job losses last month,” ADP chief economist Nela Richardson commented in an accompanying press release.

“Still, the slowdown in hiring has yet to disrupt pay growth.”

US private employment change. Source: ADP

Ahead of US nonfarm payrolls data, due for release on July 3, crypto market commentators were optimistic. Labor market weakness, they noted, increased the odds of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts coming sooner rather than later — a key source of liquidity injections for Bitcoin, altcoins and risk assets.

“Fed rate cuts are becoming increasingly likely in July…,” Andre Dragosch, European Head of Research at crypto asset manager Bitwise, wrote in part of a response on X.

Fed target rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group

As Cointelegraph continues to report, Fed officials’ resistance to rate cuts has spawned pushback from Washington, including from US President Donald Trump, who this week demanded that rates fall to 1% or lower.

The latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows market sentiment unchanged by the ADP numbers, with the Fed’s September meeting still the favorite for the next cut being unveiled.

BTC price passes key level for “upward pull”

Among traders, attention once again focused on exchange order-book liquidity.

Related: Bitcoin profit-taking makes $140K key BTC price point: Research

The push to $108,000, data from monitoring resource CoinGlass revealed, had begun to liquidate a large cloud of short positions.

BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Before the event, popular X commentator TheKingfisher had described $108,000 as one of several “magnets” surrounding spot price.

“Below current price, long liquidations are notably lighter until the 104000-105000 range, showcasing a clear imbalance. This setup implies a stronger upward pull if price breaks above 107k,” he told X followers.

Popular analyst Matthew Hyland described the week’s BTC price action so far as a “liquidity grab,” with shorts now paying the price.

Despite growing predictions of new all-time highs coming in July, $108,000 continues to function as a local resistance level for BTC/USD.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.


Extra Information:

For further insights into Bitcoin’s price dynamics and macroeconomic influences, explore these resources: Bitcoin Price Analysis and CME FedWatch Tool. These tools provide real-time data and expert analysis on market trends and Federal Reserve policy expectations.

People Also Ask About:

  • What drives Bitcoin’s price during economic uncertainty? Bitcoin often acts as a hedge against economic instability, with factors like Federal Reserve policies and labor market data playing a significant role.
  • How do Federal Reserve rate cuts impact Bitcoin? Rate cuts increase liquidity in the market, often leading to higher demand for risk assets like Bitcoin.
  • What is the significance of $108,000 for Bitcoin? This level acts as a key resistance point, with breaching it potentially triggering further upward momentum.
  • Why is the US labor market data important for crypto? Weak labor data can signal economic slowdowns, increasing the likelihood of monetary policy changes that benefit cryptocurrencies.

Expert Opinion:

According to Andre Dragosch, European Head of Research at Bitwise, “Fed rate cuts are becoming increasingly likely in July, which could provide a significant tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets.” This underscores the critical interplay between macroeconomic policies and crypto market performance.

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