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OSFI maintains capital level despite trade risk

Canada’s Financial Regulator Maintains Stability Buffer Amid Economic Uncertainty

Summary:

Canada’s Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) has decided to keep the domestic stability buffer unchanged at 3.5% for the fifth consecutive review. This decision reflects confidence in the stability of systemic risks to bank balance sheets, despite economic uncertainties such as the upcoming review of the North American free-trade deal. The buffer, akin to a rainy-day fund, ensures banks have sufficient capital to absorb potential losses. All major Canadian banks exceed the required Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 11.5%, with an average ratio of 13.6%. OSFI continues to monitor vulnerabilities like high household debt and geopolitical risks.

What This Means for You:

  • Financial Stability: The unchanged buffer indicates a stable banking environment, reducing the risk of sudden regulatory changes affecting your investments.
  • Lending Opportunities: With banks maintaining healthy capital ratios, lending conditions are likely to remain favorable for businesses and consumers.
  • Risk Awareness: Monitor global trade developments and household debt levels, as these could influence future economic conditions.
  • Future Outlook: OSFI’s cautious stance suggests potential adjustments if vulnerabilities escalate, so stay informed about economic indicators.

Original Post:

By Christine Dobby

(Bloomberg) — Canada’s financial regulator left capital requirements unchanged for the country’s largest banks, signalling that it believes systemic risks to bank balance sheets remain stable despite the uncertain economic picture with the North American free-trade deal up for review next year. 

The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions said in a statement Thursday that the domestic stability buffer will remain at 3.5% after its semi-annual review, the fifth consecutive hold. The regulator last boosted the buffer in June 2023.  

The stability buffer is often compared to a rainy-day fund, intended to protect the financial system by ensuring lenders have enough capital on hand to absorb losses in a downturn. OSFI lowered it in the early days of the pandemic to give banks more room to lend and help stimulate growth before raising it over time as the economy recovered.

Thursday’s decision means Canada’s banks will continue to be required to have Common Equity Tier 1 capital of at least 11.5% of risk-weighted assets. All six large banks comfortably exceed that ratio, with an average CET1 ratio of 13.6% reported in fiscal fourth-quarter earnings.

“The major vulnerabilities in the banking system remain elevated but stable,” OSFI said in the statement, pointing to high household debt relative to income but noting that the metric is below historical peaks. It also pointed to global uncertainty and geopolitical risks. “Canadian corporate debt growth has moderated but credit quality is vulnerable to trade-related headwinds.”

Peter Routledge, superintendent of financial institutions, said OSFI does not expect to increase the buffer from its current level “absent a significant change in vulnerabilities.” 

“We continue to closely monitor existing vulnerabilities and risks, including still elevated and increasing household indebtedness, uncertainty in housing and commercial real estate, and some signs of strain in credit such as gradually rising delinquencies and provisions in certain consumer and business segments,” Routledge said in prepared remarks. 

The Canadian economy has been moderately resilient in recent months, with inflation holding steady near the Bank of Canada’s target and the labour market exhibiting some strength with job gains and a declining unemployment rate. Gross domestic product rose at an annualized rate of 2.6% in the third quarter, a notable rebound from a contraction earlier in the year.

Credit trends appear stable, though the Big Six banks did put aside more money for possibly bad loans in their fiscal fourth quarter than they did in the previous period. The major wild card hanging over the country’s economy is next year’s renegotiation of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement

OSFI has proposed easing some capital rules for certain corporate and real estate loans to encourage more lending to businesses. Those changes would see the regulator lower the risk weighting of those loans, which in turn would allow banks to lend more while holding the same amount of capital. 


©2025 Bloomberg L.P.

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Last modified: December 18, 2025

Extra Information:

OSFI Official Website: Learn more about the regulatory framework governing Canada’s financial institutions.
Bank of Canada: Stay updated on monetary policy and economic indicators influencing Canada’s financial landscape.

People Also Ask About:

  • What is the domestic stability buffer? It’s a reserve requirement ensuring banks have enough capital to absorb losses during economic downturns.
  • How does the CET1 ratio impact banks? It measures a bank’s core capital against its risk-weighted assets, indicating financial health.
  • What risks does OSFI monitor? Key risks include household debt, housing market uncertainty, and geopolitical developments.
  • Will OSFI adjust the buffer in the future? Adjustments are unlikely unless significant vulnerabilities arise.

Expert Opinion:

OSFI’s decision to maintain the stability buffer underscores its confidence in the resilience of Canada’s banking sector. However, the regulator’s focus on macroeconomic risks highlights the need for vigilance as global trade uncertainties persist.

Key Terms:

  • Canada domestic stability buffer
  • CET1 ratio Canadian banks
  • OSFI capital requirements
  • Canadian banking system risks
  • Household debt Canada financial stability


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