Uneventful Monday; MBS Underperform
Summary:
On Monday, November 17, 2025, the bond market experienced minimal volatility, with longer-term Treasuries showing modest gains while Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) underperformed slightly. The flat performance was attributed to a lack of actionable information, but upcoming events like the Federal Reserve Minutes and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report are expected to drive market movements. This highlights the importance of monitoring macroeconomic indicators for investors and traders in the MBS and Treasury markets.
What This Means for You:
- Monitor upcoming Fed Minutes and NFP reports for potential market volatility.
- Pay attention to Treasury yields as they often influence MBS performance.
- Use mobile apps for real-time alerts on MBS and Treasury price movements.
- Stay prepared for sudden shifts in the bond market as economic data is released.
Original Post:
Uneventful Monday; MBS Underperform
Mon, Nov 17 2025, 4:07 PM
In the bigger picture, bonds were flat on Monday without any major volatility in either direction. But if we break out the microscope, we find longer-term Treasuries rallying modestly while MBS lost 1 tick by the 3pm close. In today’s case, the MBS underperformance is most easily attributed to Treasuries’ underperformance on Friday. Specifically, 10yr yields pressed up to new highs by the end of the day whereas MBS held just slightly above their mid-day lows. Said another way, if we look back 2 trading sessions instead of 1, there’s no noticeable underperformance. The flat vibes are consistent with an absence of actionable info. This will change as the week continues, especially on Wednesday (Fed Minutes) and Thursday (NFP).
- ADP Weekly Payrolls (Tue, 11/11)
08:54 AM
Modestly stronger overnight with a slight pullback at 7am. MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr down 1.5bps at 4.135
12:09 PM
MBS still up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr down 2.3bps at 4.127
03:28 PM
MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr up 1.8bps at 4.132
Download our mobile app to get alerts for MBS Commentary and streaming MBS and Treasury prices.
Extra Information:
For more insights into bond market trends, visit Investopedia’s Bond Market Guide. Additionally, Federal Reserve Meeting Dates provide critical updates on monetary policy influencing MBS and Treasury performance.
People Also Ask About:
- What causes MBS to underperform Treasuries? MBS often underperform Treasuries due to prepayment risks and slower reactivity to yield changes.
- How do Fed Minutes affect the bond market? Fed Minutes provide insights into future interest rate decisions, directly impacting bond prices and yields.
- Why monitor NFP reports? NFP reports indicate economic health, influencing investor confidence and bond market dynamics.
- What tools can help track MBS performance? Mobile apps offering real-time alerts and streaming prices are essential for tracking MBS performance.
Expert Opinion:
According to financial analysts, the bond market’s flat performance on Monday reflects a cautious stance ahead of key economic reports. Investors should prepare for potential volatility as Fed Minutes and NFP data are released, as these events often drive significant market movements.
Key Terms:
- Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS)
- Treasury yields
- Federal Reserve Minutes
- Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
- Bond market volatility
- Economic indicators
- Real-time MBS tracking
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