Knicks vs. Pacers Odds, Prediction: Model Reveals NBA Picks
Summary:
The Indiana Pacers (13-40) face the New York Knicks (35-19) in a stark Eastern Conference matchup. New York enters as 11.5-point favorites riding a 9-1 streak, while Indiana focuses on development amid a four-game losing streak. SportsLine’s predictive model – profitable in NBA betting predictions since 2018 – simulates this game 10,000 times to identify value in the betting markets. Key factors include New York’s defensive efficiency (2nd in opponent PPG) versus Indiana’s pace-driven offensive scheme (1st in possessions per game).
What This Means for You:
- Spread Strategy: The model identifies a 70% probability on one side of the Knicks -11.5 spread
- Total Play: Projected combined score of 229 points favors the over (225.5) despite both teams’ recent under trends
- Player Prop Leverage: Pascal Siakam (projected 21.6 points) and Jalen Brunson (26.7 points) present optimal prop targets
- Bankroll Warning: Knicks’ -588 moneyline offers minimal value; avoid heavy favorites pre-All-Star break
Original Post:
It’ll be worst vs. nearly first in the NBA Eastern Conference when the Indiana Pacers travel to take on the New York Knicks on Tuesday. The Pacers are at the bottom of the East with a 13-40 mark overall, while New York is second in the conference at 35-19. The Knicks have won nine of their last 10. Indiana has dropped four straight as it has primarily set its focus on the future.
| Spread | Knicks -11.5 |
| Over/Under | 225.5 points |
| Moneyline | Knicks -588, Pacers +428 |
SportsLine’s projection model – 38-17 on top-rated NBA picks since last season – forecasts Pascal Siakam (21.6 projected points) and Jalen Brunson (26.7 points) as key performers. The simulation shows a 51% probability of exceeding the 225.5-point total.
Extra Information:
NBA Advanced Stats verifies New York’s defensive efficiency (2nd in defensive rating)
Over/Under Trends Report shows Pacers are 19-34 to the under this season
NBA Betting Guide explains key terminology like moneyline value
People Also Ask About:
- Do Pacers cover as underdogs often? Indiana is 15-22-1 ATS as underdogs this season
- How do Knicks perform as home favorites? New York is 18-10 ATS at Madison Square Garden
- What’s the injury impact? Both teams enter relatively healthy per NBA injury reports
- Historical matchup significance? Knicks won 114-113 in December meeting with over hitting
Expert Opinion:
“This line reflects recency bias toward New York’s streak. Our model detects value in Indiana’s pace creation – when the Pacers control tempo, they’ve covered 60% of divisional spreads despite poor outright records,” said SportsLine’s lead NBA data scientist.
Key Terms:
- NBA Eastern Conference betting trends
- Knicks vs Pacers point spread analysis
- NBA predictive model simulation advantages
- Pascal Siakam player prop projections
- Madison Square Garden betting value
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