Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s Empire is Under Threat
Summary:
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader, faces growing threats to his political and economic empire as recent uprisings and international sanctions expose his family’s vast domestic and overseas business interests. Khamenei, who ascended to power after the Islamic Revolution, has consolidated control through the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Setad, a multi-billion-dollar commercial entity. However, sanctions on associates like Ali Ansari and increasing domestic dissent threaten his legacy and succession plans, particularly with speculation surrounding his son Mojtaba.
What This Means for You:
- Monitor Iran’s political climate: The potential instability could impact global energy markets and regional geopolitics.
- Understand the role of sanctions: International sanctions targeting Khamenei’s associates may freeze significant assets, influencing Iran’s economic stability.
- Assess succession dynamics: The transition of power to Mojtaba Khamenei or another leader could reshape Iran’s domestic and foreign policies.
- Stay informed on Setad’s influence: This entity’s control over key industries highlights the intertwined nature of politics and economics in Iran.
Original Post:
In January 1979, Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi fled Iran with “his wife, some jewels and a clod of earth”, says author Christopher de Bellaigue in the Financial Times. A measure of how the country’s Islamic revolution has devoured itself is that today’s revolutionaries “have been shouting for the son of the man their parents once deposed”. Iranians haven’t become monarchists – they are simply seeking anyone who can replace a despotic regime at war with its own people.
“The author” of last month’s carnage – the worst in the bloody regime’s 47-year history – is Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: an uncharismatic and consistently underestimated cleric who succeeded his revolutionary mentor, Ayatollah Khomeini, on the latter’s death in 1989. Khamenei is the regime’s “great survivor”, says The Economist. Yet, at 86, he is ailing. Even before the recent uprising threw Iran’s future in doubt, speculation was whirring about the succession – with many insiders tipping Khamenei’s second son Mojtaba, also a cleric, as the likely candidate. But if Khamenei ever harboured dreams of a dynasty, recent events could scupper his plans. All the more so if they reveal to ordinary Iranians the extent of his family’s domestic and international business empire.
Khamenei, who lives in a compound with his family on Tehran’s Palestine Street, has “always stressed his humble lifestyle”, says The Guardian. “His reputation for modesty, which contrasts with the ostentatious wealth of many other officials, has deflected some popular anger.” But sceptics doubt “whether his asceticism is quite as authentic as presented”. Within Iran, Iran’s supreme leader heads one of the country’s wealthiest organisations, created through the seizure of thousands of properties and assets after the revolution, says Bloomberg. Known as Setad, it manages billions of dollars-worth of commercial holdings, in sectors ranging from insurance to energy and telecoms.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s empire is under threat
The overseas empire headed by his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, is more modest. But it’s nonetheless a substantial affair, “embracing everything from Persian Gulf shipping to Swiss bank accounts and British luxury property worth in excess of £100million”. None of the assets is listed in Khamenei’s name – his interests are concealed by “layers of shell companies”. But many purchases appear in the name of a crucial middleman, Ali Ansari – a prominent tycoon with connections to the family, who has just been sanctioned by the UK. Ansari is best known for presiding over the Ayandeh Bank, a private lender that collapsed last year, “engulfed in allegations around insider lending”.
The Khamenei family might have banked on their overseas assets as “some kind of rainy day fund” in case they had to leave Iran in a hurry, says Bloomberg. The UK decision to sanction Ansari – and freeze some of those assets – has rather complicated the plan.
This article was first published in MoneyWeek’s magazine. Enjoy exclusive early access to news, opinion and analysis from our team of financial experts with a MoneyWeek subscription.
Extra Information:
Bloomberg provides an in-depth look at Mojtaba Khamenei’s global property empire and its implications for Iran’s economy. The Guardian offers insights into Khamenei’s political strategies and challenges.
People Also Ask About:
- Who is Ayatollah Ali Khamenei? He is Iran’s Supreme Leader, succeeding Ayatollah Khomeini in 1989.
- What is Setad? A multi-billion-dollar organization managing Iran’s commercial assets seized after the revolution.
- Who is Mojtaba Khamenei? The son of Ali Khamenei and a potential successor to Iran’s leadership.
- What are the implications of sanctions on Ali Ansari? They complicate the Khamenei family’s overseas financial strategies.
Expert Opinion:
The potential collapse of Khamenei’s empire underscores the fragility of authoritarian regimes reliant on opaque economic structures. This shift could pave the way for significant geopolitical changes in the Middle East.
Key Terms:
- Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
- Setad Iran
- Mojtaba Khamenei
- Ali Ansari sanctions
- Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
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